IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Kent St.
Mid-American
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.4	#159
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.0	#155
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.4	#153

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.0	#168

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.1%	7.7%	3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.0%	1.4%	0.3%
Average Seed	12.6	12.3	13.6

.500 or above	59.3%	69.2%	42.1%
.500 or above in Conference	54.1%	60.4%	43.1%
Conference Champion	6.4%	8.1%	3.4%
Last Place in Conference	8.3%	6.3%	11.6%

First Four	0.8%	1.0%	0.5%
First Round	5.8%	7.2%	3.3%
Second Round	1.3%	1.7%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Away) - 63.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.1 - 1.4	0.1 - 1.4
Quad 1b	0.3 - 1.5	0.4 - 2.9
Quad 2	1.4 - 3.5	1.8 - 6.4
Quad 3	4.9 - 4.9	6.7 - 11.3
Quad 4	8.8 - 2.2	15.5 - 13.5

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2018	281	@ Cleveland St.	W	75-68	63%
Nov 16, 2018	155	Liberty	L	67-68	61%
Nov 18, 2018	346	Alcorn St.	W	79-64	95%
Nov 20, 2018	353	Savannah St.	W	95-77	97%
Nov 23, 2018	83	@ Vanderbilt	L	69-75	22%
Nov 28, 2018	336	@ Detroit Mercy	W	85-72	81%
Dec 01, 2018	277	Norfolk St.	W	77-70	80%
Dec 08, 2018	138	Wright St.	L	69-71	53%
Dec 15, 2018	54	@ Louisville	L	70-79	15%
Dec 21, 2018	82	@ Oregon St.	L	67-73	23%
Dec 28, 2018	278	Albany	W	73-66	79%
Jan 05, 2019	205	Bowling Green	W	77-74	70%
Jan 08, 2019	211	Western Michigan	W	74-71	70%
Jan 12, 2019	135	@ Eastern Michigan	L	67-69	33%
Jan 15, 2019	142	@ Ohio	L	75-76	36%
Jan 19, 2019	186	Northern Illinois	W	73-71	64%
Jan 22, 2019	126	Toledo	L	75-77	53%
Jan 25, 2019	65	Buffalo	L	75-83	35%
Feb 02, 2019	111	@ Ball St.	L	73-76	30%
Feb 05, 2019	170	Miami (OH)	W	70-69	62%
Feb 08, 2019	184	@ Akron	W	73-72	45%
Feb 14, 2019	211	@ Western Michigan	W	74-71	53%
Feb 16, 2019	135	Eastern Michigan	L	67-69	54%
Feb 19, 2019	219	@ Central Michigan	W	76-72	53%
Feb 22, 2019	65	@ Buffalo	L	75-83	18%
Feb 26, 2019	142	Ohio	L	75-76	56%
Mar 01, 2019	205	@ Bowling Green	W	77-74	49%
Mar 05, 2019	170	@ Miami (OH)	W	70-69	42%
Mar 08, 2019	184	Akron	W	73-72	64%
Projected Record						15.5 - 13.5	8.9 - 9.1

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.0	1.7	1.8	1.2	0.4	0.1		6.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.6	1.9	3.0	2.0	0.6	0.1				8.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.7	2.8	4.0	1.6	0.4	0.0					9.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.6	3.3	4.2	1.8	0.1							10.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	3.2	4.4	1.8	0.1	0.0							9.9	5th
6th								0.3	2.5	5.1	2.3	0.1	0.0								10.4	6th
7th							0.1	1.7	4.6	2.2	0.3	0.0									8.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.3	4.1	2.9	0.4	0.0										8.9	8th
9th					0.0	1.3	3.8	3.0	0.6	0.0											8.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	1.1	3.2	2.7	0.7	0.0												7.8	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.3	2.0	1.9	0.7	0.0													6.3	11th
12th	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.7	1.2	0.3	0.0														5.0	12th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.4	3.2	4.3	6.8	8.6	9.9	11.1	11.6	10.9	9.5	8.0	5.8	4.1	2.3	1.3	0.4	0.1			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
16-2	93.9%	1.2		1.1	0.1
15-3	76.1%	1.8		1.1	0.6	0.1
14-4	41.2%	1.7		0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0
13-5	17.1%	1.0		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.8%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.4%	6.4		3.7	1.9	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		97.1%	90.5%	6.6%	6.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		69.2%
17-1	0.4%		81.2%	52.4%	28.8%	8.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1		60.4%
16-2	1.3%		58.6%	35.0%	23.6%	10.3					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.5		36.3%
15-3	2.3%		36.6%	23.9%	12.7%	11.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0			1.5		16.7%
14-4	4.1%		24.2%	20.5%	3.7%	12.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0		3.1		4.7%
13-5	5.8%		13.1%	12.1%	1.0%	13.0											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	5.1		1.1%
12-6	8.0%		7.4%	7.4%	0.0%	13.7												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	7.4		0.0%
11-7	9.5%		7.0%	7.0%	0.0%	14.1													0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	8.8		0.0%
10-8	10.9%		3.8%	3.8%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	10.5
9-9	11.6%		1.9%	1.9%		15.1														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	11.4
8-10	11.1%		1.9%	1.9%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	10.9
7-11	9.9%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.0	0.1	9.7
6-12	8.6%		0.8%	0.8%		15.8																0.0	0.1	8.6
5-13	6.8%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																0.0	0.0	6.8
4-14	4.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
3-15	3.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
2-16	1.4%																							1.4
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		6.1%	5.2%	0.9%	12.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.7	1.3	1.0	1.0	0.7	0.6	93.9		1.0%